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On the origin of the super-spreading events in the SARS epidemic
Fang, HP(方海平); Chen, JX; Hu, J(胡钧); Xu, LX; Fang, HP (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Shanghai Inst Appl Phys, POB 800-204, Shanghai 201800, Peoples R China
2004
Source PublicationEUROPHYSICS LETTERS
ISSN0295-5075
Volume68Issue:1Pages:147
AbstractSuper-spread events (SSEs), which have been observed in Singapore, Hong Kong in China and many cities all over the world, usually have a large influence on the early course of the epidemics. The understanding of these SSEs is critical to the containment of SARS. In this letter it is shown that the possibility of SSEs is still high enough even when the virulences are equal for all the infective individuals, based on a simple spatial-relevant Monte Carlo model (SEIR). The long latent periods play a critical role in the appearance of SSEs. The heterogeneity of the activities of infective cases can also increase the possibility.
Subject AreaPhysics
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding Project应物所项目组
WOS IDWOS:000224990000023
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.sinap.ac.cn/handle/331007/8151
Collection中科院上海应用物理研究所2004-2010年
Corresponding AuthorFang, HP (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Shanghai Inst Appl Phys, POB 800-204, Shanghai 201800, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Fang, HP,Chen, JX,Hu, J,et al. On the origin of the super-spreading events in the SARS epidemic[J]. EUROPHYSICS LETTERS,2004,68(1):147.
APA Fang, HP,Chen, JX,Hu, J,Xu, LX,&Fang, HP .(2004).On the origin of the super-spreading events in the SARS epidemic.EUROPHYSICS LETTERS,68(1),147.
MLA Fang, HP,et al."On the origin of the super-spreading events in the SARS epidemic".EUROPHYSICS LETTERS 68.1(2004):147.
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